MOGADISHU (SONNA) — The Federal Government of Somalia, in coordination with the United Nations, has issued a stark warning following the release of the latest Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) report, which reveals that acute hunger levels across the nation have doubled over the past year. Between April and June 2026, an estimated 4.4 million Somalis are projected to experience Crisis or worse levels of food insecurity, classified as IPC Phase 3 and above.
This dramatic deterioration in national food security is driven by a convergence of severe environmental and economic challenges. The primary catalyst is the delayed and poorly distributed Deyr rains recorded between October and December 2025. The resulting dry conditions have severely impacted crop yields and livestock production, compromising the agricultural foundation of the country.
These environmental setbacks are further compounded by localized flooding incidents, ongoing conflict in specific regions, and broader macroeconomic instability. High inflation and diminished purchasing power are actively restricting the ability of ordinary citizens to secure basic nutritional requirements.
Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs) remain the most critically vulnerable demographic in this escalating crisis. Populations residing in settlements across major urban centers, including Mogadishu, Baidoa, Dhusamareb, Galkayo, and Kismayo, are currently facing Emergency levels of hunger, formally designated as IPC Phase 4. In total, the report identifies 11 specific population groups enduring this critical emergency phase.
The secondary nutritional crisis affecting the younger generation is equally alarming. Health assessments indicate that 1.6 million children under the age of five are projected to suffer from acute malnutrition throughout the year. Within this demographic, approximately 396,000 children will face severe acute malnutrition, requiring immediate and specialized medical intervention to prevent high mortality rates.
The operational reality on the ground is already severe, with 3.6 million people actively experiencing Crisis or worse food insecurity between January and March 2026. Francois Batalingaya, the UN Resident and Humanitarian Coordinator for Somalia, emphasized the critical necessity for immediate financial resources to halt further deterioration and execute life-saving operations.
Echoing this tactical urgency, El-Khidir Daloum, the World Food Programme (WFP) Representative and Country Director, warned of catastrophic consequences if humanitarian assistance is not rapidly scaled up to meet the demand. To sustain and expand its crisis response, the WFP has announced an urgent funding requirement of $218 million over the next six months.
By: Kelly Muthusi | CARE East and Southern Africa | Regional Communications Associate